Markets

Fed Rates

FFed Decision in December?25 bps increase88.5%50+ bps increase7.8%▼1.3ppNo change3.1%▲1.1pp127 holdingVol $2.6M

HHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?0 (0 bps)98.3%▲0.1ppVol $26K

FFed decisions (Sep–Dec)Hike–Pause–Hike96.5%▼0.7ppHike–Pause–Pause2.4%▲0.9pp40 holdingVol $9,337

AAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes96.7%▼0.3ppNo3.2%91 holdingVol $8,022

HHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in November?5.49%85%▲16.5pp5.57%37%▲15pp5.61%25.5%▲7.5ppVol $2,820

HHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?5.25%31.7%▲7.1pp5.21%44.6%▲8.5pp5.33%7.4%▲0.9ppVol $1,741

HHow high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?4.97%50.5%▲25.5pp5.02%51.2%▲46.4pp4.92%35.3%▼14.5ppVol $1,720

HHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?5.12%23.5%▼1.5pp4.99%84%▲11.5pp5.07%28%▼7.5ppVol $1,245

FFed rate cut by...?January 2027 Meeting3.3%March 2027 Meeting8%July 2027 Meeting46.5%▲0.5pp15 holdingVol $572

HHow low will 5-year Treasury yield get in November?Below 4.37%3.5%▲2ppBelow 4.44%3.7%▲1.3ppBelow 4.53%4%▲1.2ppVol $337

HHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?Below 4.61%5.2%▲2.2ppBelow 4.70%3%▲0.8ppBelow 4.82%2.6%▼3.2ppVol $173

HHow low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?Below 4.32%3.5%▲1.7ppBelow 4.26%4%▼3.9ppBelow 4.35%3.3%▲1.1ppVol $148