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IIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?November 1597.8%▲2.2ppDecember 1576.5%▲4ppDecember 3167.5%▲1pp169 holdingVol $777.8K

UUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?November 151%▼0.9ppDecember 3122.2%▼4.9ppNovember 306.5%▼1pp192 holdingVol $210.5K

UUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)November 826.5%▲4ppNovember 1539.5%▲1.5ppNovember 3066.5%▲6pp96 holdingVol $146.6K

FFAA outage attributed to Iran?Yes2.1%No97.8%1 holdingVol $136.1K

PPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot63.7%▲0.4ppBenjamin Netanyahu20.6%▲0.6ppAvigdor Lieberman4.4%▲0.1pp169 holdingVol $91.5K

WWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes8.5%▲1ppNo91.5%83 holdingVol $65.1K

VVenezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro90.4%▲1.9ppDelcy Rodríguez8%▲1pp48 holdingVol $63K

FFAA outage attributed to a foreign actor?Yes3.2%No96.8%Vol $55.4K

NNext leader out of power before 2027?None before 202749%Netanyahu - Israel PM38.5%Sánchez - Spanish PM3.7%▲0.9pp49 holdingVol $47.6K

WWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes1.5%▲0.1ppNo98.4%Vol $41.4K

TTrump out as President before 2027?Yes2.3%▼0.1ppNo97.6%2 holdingVol $37.5K

IIran full airspace closure by...?November 3014.5%December 3125.5%▼1.5pp63 holdingVol $30.7K