Old Zhou

69 days to settlement, price steady at 64¢, fundamentals unchanged. Staying on this side.

2Japan Core CPI YoY in 20262.0-2.4%Now62.8¢−2.2¢

32 days to settlement, price steady at 73¢, fundamentals unchanged. Staying on this side.

DIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through...?December 15Now76.5¢+3.5¢

75 days to settlement, price steady at 56¢, fundamentals unchanged. Staying on this side.

PFed decisions (Oct-Jan)Pause-Hike-HikeNow56.2¢−0.9¢

十二月还远着呢，现在就加到八成多，中间那么多数据都没出。

16 days to settlement, price steady at 63¢, I don't see much change and am staying on this side.

BWorlds 2026: WinnerBilibili GamingNow62.2¢−0.4¢

139 days to settlement, price steady at 62¢, fundamentals unchanged, I'm likely staying on this side.

MUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31Now55.5¢−7.5¢

139 days to settlement, price steady at 78¢, fundamentals unchanged, and I'm still on this side.

MRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?March 31, 2027Now77.5¢−0.5¢

加息这价定到八成多，眼下通胀和就业数据还没看到要这么急的信号。

54 days to settlement, price steady at 57¢, fundamentals unchanged. I lean toward this side.

1Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?↑$1.75TNow56.5¢−0.5¢

The January meeting is still a ways off, the odds of a hike are over half but not by much, so the direction really isn't clear.

The rate hike is priced this fully and December is still so far away, and the data in between hasn't even come out yet.

51 days to settlement, price steady at 62¢, fundamentals unchanged. Staying on this side.

DUS announces end of Iranian blockade by...?December 31Now77.9¢+15.8¢

离十二月还早得很，加息这价直接定到八成，我有点下不去手。

160 days to settlement, price steady at 55¢, fundamentals unchanged. Staying on this side.

MNext French Presidential ElectionMarine Le PenNow52.5¢−2.4¢