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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Chopsticks catch Starship?52%▲13ppSuccessful splash down?42%▲12.5ppW
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?December 31, 202813.5%▼6ppDecember 31, 20279.5%▲1ppDecember 31, 20261.4%F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?June 30, 202725.5%▲16ppSeptember 30, 202740.5%December 31, 202764.5%M
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?June 3016%▲1.5ppDecember 311.5%O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?December 31, 202744%▼5ppDecember 31, 20267.7%▼0.3ppU
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes5%▼6ppNo95%HHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?087%▼1.5pp17%22.8%▲0.1ppW
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Ramsey Number R(5,5)14.5%▼9ppTwin Prime Conjecture7.5%▼1ppHodge Conjecture13%▲2.5ppS
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?Yes22%▼6ppNo78%EExponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?December 3176.5%▲3ppJune 3082%WWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?No solution by Dec 31, 202732%Yang-Mills25.5%▼1.9ppHodge Conjecture20%▲1ppH
Human moon landing in 2026?Yes0.5%▲0.1ppNo99.5% 