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Markets
China
WWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes1.4%▲0.2ppNo98.5%Vol $96.4KWWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?CXMT25.5%▼2.5ppBYD8%▼4.5ppTencent13.5%28 holdingVol $32.9KWWho will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Moonshot AI21.5%▼0.5ppByteDance12%Xiaomi12.5%14 holdingVol $28.9KTTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes94%▲0.5ppNo6%Vol $7,954HHow long will Xi and Takaichi shake hands?2–6s38.5%▼3pp6–10s27.5%▲6.5ppNo Handshake15%▲3.5ppVol $7,793WWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?Yes1.7%▼0.4ppNo98.3%Vol $4,998WWill Trump and Xi hug at APEC?Yes4.7%▲0.6ppNo95.3%Vol $3,093EEU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by...?December 31, 202829.5%▼4ppJune 30, 202825.5%▼2ppJune 30, 20275.2%▲2.7ppVol $2,885CChina x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes2%▼0.2ppNo97.9%7 holdingVol $2,376CChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes11.5%No88.5%2 holdingVol $1,938HHow long will Trump and Xi shake hands at APEC?6–10s31.5%2–6s30.5%▲4pp10–15s21%▲0.5ppVol $1,688CChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes2.2%No97.8%Vol $1,349
