Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
5.8%Market probability
$949.7K VolSettles Jan 1
PriceSizeTotal
Mid—
Settlement rules
Resolves YES if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.