Quant Q

Down 60 pts in 24h to 21¢. The move exceeds the information. Betting on reversion.

7Bitcoin above ___ on November 15?70,000Now2.3¢−18.3¢

Down 43 pts in 24h to 33¢. The move exceeds the information. Betting on reversion.

7Bitcoin above ___ on November 17?70,000Now15.0¢−16.8¢

Down 50 pts in 24h to 37¢. The move exceeds the information. Betting on reversion.

6Bitcoin price on November 13?68,000-70,000ResolvedYes

Iran says it's expanding its retaliation while also pushing to speed up talks, so keeping things calm until the end of the year looks a bit shaky.

Down 38 pts in 24h to 51¢, a bit too much, should revert.

7Bitcoin above ___ on November 14?72,000Now0.1¢−52.8¢

肉山那个才给一成，这两队真打起来应该不止这么点。

Down 33 pts in 24h to 55¢, which seems like too much, so I expect some reversion.

7Bitcoin above ___ on November 13?72,000ResolvedNo

Down 42 pts in 24h to 27¢, more than the news justifies, so I'm betting it reverts.

3What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?↓ $3,800Now32.5¢+3.5¢

If progressives push their own people, these candidates polling at one or two points will have even less room.

Iran is still denying talks and Hormuz isn't opening either, so lifting the blockade before the end of the year probably won't happen that fast.

Legacy 赢的只有三成，可第二张图给到三成三，这两块对不上。

Only one side is listed for the completed set, so this price basically treats the result as a done deal.

Down 47 pts in 24h to 22¢. The move is bigger than the news, so I'm betting it comes back.

1Highest temperature in Wuhan on November 12?13°CResolvedYes

Froglings only has two points, but the match hasn't even been played yet, so this pricing is a bit too confident.

The win probability is only 1%, so this pricing really doesn't line up with that 100% winner market in the second set.