LostNo$23.56Avg 5.7¢
−$23.56
Settled
LostNo$23.56Avg 5.7¢
LostNo$0.92Avg 23.0¢
Bet on2 markets$362.97
LostYes$11.69Avg 12.3¢
LostNo$154.10Avg 68.2¢
LostYes$93.68Avg 9.1¢
BoughtNo$220.29Avg 39.9¢
Price 38¢ is 36 pts off its 7-day median of 74¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?Howard LutnickNow60.5¢+20.5¢WonNo$165.95Avg 64.2¢
LostNo$1.32Avg 21.0¢
The Republicans lost this many House seats in the midterms, and the successor is busy shifting the blame first — Vance at this price might still not be low enough.
The Hegseth impeachment thing is still stuck with their own lawmakers, so it's way too early to talk about who gets the nomination.
Bet on2 markets$177.65
BoughtYes$93.68Avg 9.1¢
Price 10¢ is 10 pts off its 7-day median of 19¢, outside the margin of error, betting on reversion.
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?260-279ResolvedNoThe progressive wing pushing its own people should be worse for these low-priced candidates.
Lisnard at this price is a bit high, it's not even settled whether he can lead the first round.
All four of these names are priced near zero, the market isn't treating them as serious candidates at all.
BoughtNo$154.10Avg 68.2¢
Price 67¢ is 8 pts off its 7-day median of 75¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?220-239ResolvedYesBoughtNo$165.80Avg 46.0¢
Price 46¢ is 10 pts off its 7-day median of 55¢, outside the margin of error. Betting on reversion.
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)November 15Now64.0¢+18.0¢LostNo$33.85Avg 14.9¢
BoughtNo$33.85Avg 14.9¢
14¢ is 29 pts off its 7-day median of 43¢, a bit outside the margin of error, so I'm betting on reversion.
Elon Musk # tweets November 9 - November 11, 2026?<40ResolvedYes
