Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
$3.2M VolSettles Jan 1
MarketChance
December 31, 2027
$15.7K Vol.
37%▼0.5pp
June 30, 2027
$12K Vol.
21%▲1pp
March 31, 2027
$59.1K Vol.
6.5%▲0.2pp
December 31, 2026
$2.5M Vol.
2.2%▼0.4pp
November 30, 2026
$61K Vol.
<1%▲0.1pp
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.